2018 Golden Globe Predictions Part 1 – Movies

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association is known for bringing some surprises to the table during awards season. Their hilarious, middle-finger nomination of Christopher Plummer this year proves that this tumultuous year hasn’t changed what the Golden Globes gets to be every January. Naturally, this leads to some discrepancies in who should win, as opposed to who will win, so we’ve included those honorees in our predictions as well.


Best Motion Picture – Drama: 

Photo Credit:https://www.pastemagazine.com/tag/christopher+nolanPhoto Credit:http://www.digitalspy.com/movies/news/a842537/the-post-trailer-tom-hanks-meryl-streep-steven-spielberg/

The excellent Shape of Water has lost steam this past month, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri has proved more divisive with audiences than Fox Searchlight might have expected. The race here is really between Call Me By Your Name and Dunkirk, but with Luca Guadagnino shut out of the director’s race, expect Christopher Nolan’s war experiment to fully pay off. But voters shouldn’t forget The Post, not just a timely film, but a really well-made, well-acted, and surprising one. Will Win: Dunkirk / Should Win: The Post


Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy: 

Photo Credit:https://wheresthejump.com/jump-scares-in-get-out-2017/Photo Credit:http://entertainmentvoice.com/2017/11/03/saoirse-ronan-and-greta-gerwing-are-a-winning-team-in-lady-bird/

This is really a race between the two most universally loved films of the year: Get Out and Lady Bird. While Greta Gerwig’s debut, the better of the two, hasn’t lost an ounce of steam since it’s release, Jordan Peele’s debut has re-emerged this awards season as a potential juggernaut that could upend the whole concept of an “awards movie.” Will Win: Get Out / Should Win: Lady Bird


Best Director:

Photo Credit:http://marcelmovies.blogspot.com/Photo Credit:https://www.npr.org/2017/12/01/567265511/guillermo-del-toro-says-shape-of-water-is-an-antidote-for-today-s-cynicism

This is a great category this year, even if both Greta Gerwig and Jordan Peele were shut out. Steven Spielberg and Ridley Scott especially showed just how efficient their craft has become. But expect the HFPA to acknowledge the technical prowess of Christopher Nolan for his impeccably constructed Dunkirk. If we had our way, though, the sheer imagination and romance of Guillermo del Toro wouldn’t go unrecognized. Will Win: Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk / Should Win: Guillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water


Best Actress – Drama: 

Photo Credit:http://www.macleans.ca/culture/movies/the-timely-gravity-of-three-billboards-outside-ebbing-missouri/Photo Credit:http://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm-246009/photos/

It was made clear from the nominations that the HFPA really loves Three Billboards. This is likely where they’ll recognize it, as it’ll likely be shut out in the other categories it’s recognized under. Frances McDormand is a strong choice, but this is another case where The Shape of Water deserves some love. Sally Hawkins was incredible in it, and you just know she’d give an emotional speech. That said, never count out Meryl Streep. Will Win: Frances McDormand for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri / Should Win: Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water


Best Actor – Drama:

Photo Credit:http://www.insidesources.com/north-korea-darkest-hour/Photo Credit:https://www.npr.org/2017/11/22/565725537/armie-hammer-says-filming-call-me-by-your-name-was-its-own-summer-romance

The Golden Globes being ever-unpredictable, this category could go one of three ways. The HFPA will either take the chance to honor Daniel Day Lewis’ final performance, finally give Gary Oldman his due for his bravura turn as Winston Churchill, or go with the fresh blood and award truly the best performance nominated, that of Timothee Chalamet in Call Me By Your Name. My bet is on Oldman simply because it combines an actual great performance with a chance to recognize someone who they haven’t before. Will Win: Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour / Should Win: Timothee Chalamet for Call Me By Your Name


Best Actress – Musical or Comedy:

Photo Credit:http://entertainmentvoice.com/2017/11/03/saoirse-ronan-and-greta-gerwing-are-a-winning-team-in-lady-bird/Photo Credit:https://www.theguardian.com/film/2018/jan/02/must-see-movies-2018-preview-black-panther-aardman-jennifer-lawrence

No matter who wins Best Picture in the Musical or Comedy category, you can count on Saoirse Ronan taking home the Globe for Lady Bird. And no one will probably bat an eye at that, seeing as she’s terrific in it. But voters should take another look at Margot Robbie in I, Tonya, which is arguably the best performance of the year. Will Win: Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird / Should Win: Margot Robbie for I, Tonya


Best Actor – Musical or Comedy:

Photo Credit:https://www.cinemablend.com/news/1702460/how-the-rooms-tommy-wiseau-feels-about-james-francos-the-disaster-artist

Daniel Kaluuya’s turn in Get Out could spoil things, but this category is pretty much James Franco’s to lose. It’ll likely be the only award The Disaster Artist gets, and we’re okay with that. Will/Should Win: James Franco for The Disaster Artist


Best Supporting Actress:

Photo Credit:http://awardswatch.com/2017/12/20/2018-oscars-supporting-actress-december-part-2-laurie-metcalf-is-1-for-the-first-time/

There was a time in this awards cycle where Allison Janney had a lot more momentum, but Laurie Metcalf has rightfully emerged as the front runner. Her performance in Lady Bird is spellbindingly real. Will/Should Win: Laurie Metcalf for Lady Bird


Best Supporting Actor:

Photo Credit:http://www.indiewire.com/2017/10/willem-dafoe-interview-the-florida-project-oscars-1201883667/

Also once upon a time, Willem Dafoe was the clear frontrunner. Then Richard Jenkins started gaining lots of steam, and then the HFPA nominated Christopher Plummer despite having worked on All the Money in the World for just nine days. But Plummer’s momentum hasn’t kept up, and we don’t expect the Academy to give him the same honor later this month, and that’s why Dafoe’s excellent work in The Florida Project will likely still snag the trophy here. Will/Should Win: Willem Dafoe for The Florida Project


Best Screenplay:

Photo Credit:https://www.filminquiry.com/lady-bird-trailer/

After winning two big acting categories, it’s pretty safe to say the love for Lady Bird will extend to Greta Gerwig’s script. The Post or even Molly’s Game (never count Aaron Sorkin out) could swing an upset, but Lady Bird‘s script is undeniably infectious, and it’ll give the HFPA a chance to get Gerwig on stage after snubbing her in the director category. Will/Should Win: Lady Bird


Best Foreign Language Film:

I am admittedly behind on these, but all signs point to A Fantastic Woman getting a win here, which very well could carry over to the Oscars. None of the other nominees have even a drop of its momentum. Will Win: A Fantastic Woman


Best Animated Film:

Photo Credit:https://www.cinemablend.com/news/1728349/will-pixar-ever-do-a-full-blown-musical-heres-what-cocos-director-had-to-say

There are some real head-scratchers in here (The Boss Baby?). There’s a chance an indie hit like The Breadwinner or Loving Vincent could sneak a win here. That said, Coco not only boasts the Pixar name, but is a big family friendly hit with critics and audiences alike. Will/Should Win: Coco


Best Original Score:

Big names like John Williams and Hans Zimmer could prove an upset here, but expect the HFPA to recognize the incredible work Jonny Greenwood did for Phantom Thread, a sentiment that will surely carry over to the Oscars. Will/Should Win: Phantom Thread


Best Original Song:

Not the best offering this year. You can pretty easily cross off “The Star” and “Home,” but don’t count out “This is Me” since the HFPA appear to be the only ones charmed by The Greatest Showman. That said, the Globe will most likely go to Coco‘s “Remember Me,” one of the only memorable and catchy songs on the list. If we had our way, however, Mary J. Blige’s powerful ballad from Mudbound, “Mighty River,” would be recognized. Will Win: “Remember Me” from Coco / Should Win: “Mighty River” from Mudbound


Agree with our predictions? Let us know in the comments below.


By Matt Dougherty

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