Final Oscar Predictions!

Photo Credit: http://moviesblog.mtv.com/2011/12/28/84th-annual-academy-awards-poster-unveiled/

In just under a week, the Academy Awards will finally air and the great films of 2011 can at last go down in the cinema history books. Surprise winners and losers are sure to be had. Some categories are easier to predict than others. Some categories are easy to foresee but the outright winner might not necessarily deserve it. Just as I did with the Golden Globes, I will choose who I think will win and who deserves to win, which in many cases may be the same. There are a few categories that I do not know enough about to predict (what is the difference between Sound Editing and Sound Mixing anyway?). So for those I will not make an arse out of myself. Its officially Oscar week, time to get excited!

(Categories skipped: Best Feature Documentary, Best Short Documentary, Best Live Action Short Film, Best Animated Short Film, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing, and Best Costume Design)

 

Best Picture:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1655442/Will/Should Win: The Artist

This year the biggest winner is one of the easiest to predict. The Artist is a shoe in for a Best Picture win. No other film really has a chance. The only two that could possibly sneak out a win are The Descendants and Hugo. But when it comes down to it, The Artist just did everything so perfectly without being a safe film like last year’s winner The King’s Speech. And it has one of the most charming dogs in cinema history.

 

 

Best Director:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0371890/Will/Should Win: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist

The nominees for Best Director this year include such big names as Martin Scorsese, Woody Allen, and Terrence Malick, but my guess is that it will be a relatively unknown director who takes home the trophy. Hazanavicius is a French director and his film, The Artist, is a masterpiece. If anyone beats him out it will be Scorsese for Hugo, but like the Best Picture category, this one should go to The Artist.

 

 

Best Actor:

Photo Credit: http://www.poptower.com/george-clooney-picture-76891.htmPhoto Credit: http://manverse.com/2011/09/25/review-moneyball/brad-pitt-moneyball/Will Win: George Clooney for The Descendents

Should Win: Brad Pitt for Moneyball

Clooney is fantastic in The Descendents, no one should take that away from him. However, the performance is a bit safer than a lot of his other work. He was far better in Up in the Air, for which he was nominated and lost. Therefore, the award should go to his friend, Brad Pitt who gave an amazing and honest performance in Moneyball. Then again, I wouldn’t mind seeing a win for Jean Dujardin in The Artist, but Pitt did give the best performance out of the five.

 

Best Actress:

Photo Credit: http://collider.com/viola-davis-the-help-interview/108173/Photo Credit: http://womenandhollywood.com/2011/01/13/rooney-mara-pictures-as-lisbeth-salander/Will Win: Viola Davis for The Help

Should Win: Rooney Mara for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

This category is full of excellent performances by excellent actresses. In any other year each of these performances would be an easy call for a win. My guess is that the Academy will give it to Davis for her subtle yet gripping performance. But a win for Meryl Streep would hardly be a shocker. As for who deserves the award, that goes to Rooney Mara’s fantastic portrayal of Lisbeth Salander. She was the best character on the screen in 2011 and easily the best performance of the year.

 

Best Supporting Actor:

Photo Credit: http://baynapsmoviereviews.blogspot.com/2011/10/oscars-2012-predictions.htmlWill/Should Win: Christopher Plummer for Beginners

This is another category full of fantastic performances, but there is one clear winner and that is Christopher Plummer for his amazing turn as an elderly man who just came out as gay. Beginners would not have been nearly as good were it not for Christopher Plummer’s ability to take command of any scene in which he appeared. He deserves the win.

 

 

Best Supporting Actress:

Photo Credit: http://movies.about.com/od/thehelp/ig/The-Help-Photos/Octavia-Spencer2.htmWill/Should Win: Octavia Spencer for The Help

All of the performances in The Help were spectacular, but only one of them comes close to matching Viola Davis and that is Octavia Spencer. But I also would not mind seeing Berenice Bejo snag a win for The Artist, but Spencer gave the superior performance and has won every other award so far. She has this one in the bag.

 

 

Best Original Screenplay:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1605783/Will/Should Win: Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris

The only two true contenders for this category are The Artist and Midnight in Paris. My guess, and my hope, is that the Academy will recognize the amazing script for Midnight in Paris, written by Woody Allen himself. Dialogue is not the only important part of a script, but the fact that The Artist has none hurts its chances in this category.

 

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1033575/Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1210166/Will Win: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash for The Descendants

Should Win: Aaron Sorkin and Steve Zaillian for Moneyball

Both The Descendants and Moneyball have sharp scripts, but only one of them has the masterful hand of Aaron Sorkin behind it. Sorkin is the best screenwriter in Hollywood right now and he did it again with Moneyball. But he has seen no recognition yet. All has gone to Descendants, so expect them to win again on Oscar night.

 

Best Animated Feature:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1192628/Will/Should Win: Rango

Rango was easily the best animated movie this year. In the same year as the first Pixar failure, we got Johnny Depp voicing a lizard and a zany Western plot. Rango should not have worked, but somehow it did, and I bet that the Academy will recognize that.

 

 

 

Best Foreign Language Film:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1832382/This Iranian film has been cleaning up every Foreign category it can get for a reason. A Separation is a fantastic film, one that feels real in any culture because of the human connection it establishes right from the start. I have not seen any of the other films nominated but I am confident that it is the best of the bunch and will definitely win the award.

 

 

 

Best Original Score:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1655442/Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568911/Will Win: Ludovic Bource for The Artist

Should Win: John Williams for War Horse

Let me get one thing straight: I HATED War Horse. However, credit is given where it is due, and John Williams did an amazing job on the music for that film. Music is very important in The Artist but Ludovic Bource is no John Williams. This is the only award that War Horse should ever win, unless its at the Razzies.

 

Best Original Song:

Photo Credit: http://www.vh1.com/music/tuner/2011-12-13/man-or-muppet-gets-its-own-video-starring-jason-segel-amy-adams-jim-parsons-and-yep-muppets/Will/Should Win: “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets

Oddly, there are only two songs nominated in this category this year, and both of them are from kids movies. Could the Academy be recognizing how much everyone hates the performances scattered throughout the telecast? I think so. Regardless, this delightful little number from The Muppets got nominated against some other boring, but slightly catchy song from Rio. This one should go to The Muppets. One can only hope that Jason Segel will be there to perform it.

 

Best Art Direction:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0970179/Will/Should Win: Hugo

There are a lot of great things about Hugo (hence why it got a whopping total of eleven nominations), but where it truly stands out from the rest is in its art direction. The sets and atmospheres are incredibly moody. Of course any excuse to give the final Harry Potter movieĀ (which also got nominated) an Oscar is fine with me, but Hugo honestly deserves this one.

 

 

Best Cinematography:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0970179/Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0478304/Will Win: Hugo

Should Win: The Tree of Life

This is another category that in another year all the movies nominated would win. Hugo was gorgeously filmed but a lot of that was because of the fantastic CGI. The Tree of Life is the true marvel here as it took beautiful shots of nature and put them together with an intimate yet epic style of capturing a human being. But my guess is that Hugo will take home this one as well just because the Academy seems to love it so much.

 

Best Makeup:

Photo Credit: http://blogs.indiewire.com/carynjames/albert-nobbsPhoto Credit: http://digitalcitizen.ca/2011/07/14/harry-potter-7-the-deathly-hallows-part-2-wallpapers-for-ipad-ipad2-1024x1024-pixels/230658id1b_hp7_part2_griphook_keyart-indd/Will Win: Albert Nobbs

Should Win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2

The makeup in Albert Nobbs is not quite good enough for me to truly suspend my disbelief. That is why I do not think it should win. Whereas, in Harry Potter, I never question that there are goblins or that Voldemort has a nose. But its too much of a blockbuster to win the award.

 

Best Film Editing:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1655442/Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568346/Will Win: The Artist

Should Win: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

The correlation between this category and Best Picture is pretty evident, which is why The Artist will win this one. However, the way Dragon Tattoo was edited together never made it feel long, an accomplishment for a film over two and a half hours long. Also, the way that Lisbeth and Mikael’s stories were laced together scene after scene in the first hour was fantastic.

 

Best Visual Effects:

Photo Credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1318514/Will/Should Win: Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Remember this little gem last August? Well its back and its going to get the Oscar it deserves. The amazing motion capture technology as well as incredibly realistic CGI made this film stand out from the rest. No other film nominated deserves the win more than this one. If it loses, Caesar will have his revenge!

 

 

What do you make of my predictions? Should any other films win that I did not mention? Sound off below!

 

 

 

 

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