Oscar Predictions!

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In just two days, we will know the nominations for the 84th Academy Awards. At this point, some clear frontrunners are in place, but how will the categories fill out? How many films will get nominated for Best Picture? Which big-name directors will be left out? Who will round out the Best Actress category? Here are my predictions for the nominations.

 

 

 

Best Picture:

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There are five films that are definitely going to get nominated. They are The Artist, The Descendants, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, and The Help. If there are only five movies that get nominated, it will be those five. However, I believe that Moneyball and The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo will get nominations for a total of seven films. Moneyball got enough attention with the Golden Globes to beat out War Horse and The Tree of Life. Also, the recent rise of Dragon Tattoo has all but secured its nomination. Sure, War Horse could beat it out but I think there are enough people who agree with me on the fact that it’s a bad movie. If eight films get nominated War Horse will be the last one. If there are nine, Tree of Life will sneak in there. There won’t be ten but if it was on last year’s rules, Bridesmaids would get nominated.

 

Best Director:

Photo Credit: http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/news/story/2011-11-21/the-artist/51340814/1Photo Credit: http://deneroff.com/blog/2011/11/25/martin-scoreses-hugo/Photo Credit: http://www.allmoviephoto.com/photo/2011_the_descendants_003.htmlPhoto Credit: http://collider.com/david-fincher-girl-with-the-dragon-tattoo-interview/133678/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The four locks here are Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist, Martin Scorsese for Hugo, Alexander Payne for The Descendants, and Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris. The biggest question mark is the fifth slot which will go to either David Fincher for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo or Steven Spielberg for War Horse. My pick is Fincher because I believe that Dragon Tattoo will get nominated for best picture and War Horse will not. But if they both get nominated, Spielberg could edge out Fincher in this category.

 

Best Actor:

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This category is pretty easy to predict. George Clooney for The Descendants, Brad Pitt for Moneyball, Jean Dujardin for The Artist, Michael Fassbender for Shame, and Leonardo DiCaprio for J. Edgar are all pretty much definitely going to get nominated. If I had to guess a wild card (which I do) I would say that Gary Oldman could sneak in there instead of DiCaprio for Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy.

 

Best Actress:

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This is a very tight category this year. Viola Davis in The Help will square against Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady for the win here. Michelle Williams is also a lock for My Week With Marilyn. Then it becomes tricky. Glenn Close will probably get nominated for Albert Nobbs, but there are two other performances that awards’ season has recognized a lot: Rooney Mara in The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and Tilda Swinton in We Need To Talk About Kevin. The Academy loves Swinton but if Dragon Tattoo gets nominated for Best Picture and David Fincher get nominated for Best Director, I don’t see Rooney Mara getting ignored (in my humble opinion she gave the best performance of the year).

 

Best Supporting Actor:

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Christopher Plummer has this one in the bag for his spectacular performance in Beginners. Kenneth Branagh for My Week With Marilyn and Jonah Hill for Moneyball are likely as well. Then comes Max Von Sydow for Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close and Albert Brooks for Drive, which still baffles me with the amount of attention he’s getting. I am hoping for Nick Nolte to make an upset for Warrior, but I doubt it.

 

Best Supporting Actress:

Photo Credit: http://rnbphilly.com/audio/tjoyner/octavia-spencer-talks-the-help-audio/Photo Credit: http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/globes_go_silent_cAK3kKGtbSIIaq4hornZiNPhoto Credit: http://www.filmofilia.com/the-descendants-trailer-46604/Photo Credit: http://john-likes-movies.blogspot.com/2012/01/2012-oscar-predictions-penultimate.htmlPhoto Credit: http://www.hollywood.com/news/jessica_chastain_career_rising_star_under_the_radar/7835584

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Like the best supporting actor category, the winner is already clear here. Octavia Spencer was incredible in The Help. However, I also expect to see Berenice Bejo for The Artist, Shailene Woodley for The Descendants, and Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids recognized. That leaves the fifth slot up for grabs. It’s between Jessica Chastain for The Help and Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs. My guess is that Chastain will take the fifth slot.

 

So there you have it. What are your picks? Are they any different than mine? Sound off in the comments’ section!

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